Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.300 | $51.67 | -$48.33 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?Yes | buy | 158.08 | $0.557 | $88 | May 16, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $100 |
| May 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 174.42 | $0.860 | $150 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 299.62 | $0.660 | $197.75 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 12.79 | $0.380 | $4.86 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 203.5 | $0.015 | $3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.220 | $33 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Megaquake by August 31?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 31.6 | $0.348 | $11 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen before July?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.261 | $3 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 22.13 | $0.136 | $3 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 76.04 | $0.434 | $33 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | May 1, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?Yes | sell | 23.87 | $0.060 | $1.43 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.140 | $3.5 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Tottenham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.280 | $7 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.21 | $0.530 | $7 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 27.07 | $0.410 | $11.1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 23.33 | $0.300 | $7 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?Yes | buy | 23.87 | $0.550 | $13.13 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 99.65 | $0.994 | $99.05 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 99.66 | $0.610 | $60.79 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel before December?Yes | buy | 58.55 | $0.449 | $26.3 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 60.77 | $0.517 | $31.42 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Iran strike on US military in August?Yes | buy | 7.4 | $0.050 | $0.37 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Megaquake in August?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.570 | $15 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.960 | $15 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Iran strike on US military in August?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.950 | $15 | Aug 21, 2024 |