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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 16.05 | $0.997 | $16 | 15d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 30.27 |
| $0.991 |
| $30 |
| 15d ago |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?Yes | buy | 28.03 | $0.999 | $28 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 23.66 | $0.930 | $22 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?No | buy | 28.03 | $0.999 | $28 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 20.9 | $0.957 | $20 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?Yes | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22?No | buy | 38.1 | $0.998 | $38.02 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 10.59 | $0.999 | $10.58 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?No | buy | 38.03 | $0.999 | $37.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.941 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.02 | $0.999 | $23 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?Yes | buy | 7.96 | $0.999 | $7.95 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 11?Yes | buy | 16.3 | $0.999 | $16.28 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 11.65 | $0.944 | $11 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 20.98 | $0.997 | $20.92 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 25.41 | $0.998 | $25.36 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | buy | 21.41 | $0.934 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 30?No | buy | 25.24 | $0.999 | $25.21 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 20.12 | $0.994 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No | buy | 16.69 | $0.991 | $16.54 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 8?No | buy | 16.55 | $0.999 | $16.53 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 3?Yes | buy | 16.53 | $0.999 | $16.51 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?No | buy | 16.51 | $0.999 | $16.49 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 28?Yes | buy | 8.16 | $0.999 | $8.15 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 26?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.995 | $8.11 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.997 | $8.09 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 24?Yes | buy | 8.09 | $0.999 | $8.08 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.98 | $0.550 | $6.59 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?No | buy | 16.08 | $0.995 | $16 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 17?No | buy | 22.58 | $0.999 | $22.56 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 14?Yes | buy | 14.17 | $0.999 | $14.16 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.920 | $6 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 10?Yes | buy | 8.41 | $0.998 | $8.39 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 10?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 1?Yes | buy | 18.13 | $0.996 | $18.06 | Nov 1, 2025 |