Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 6.04 |
| $0.945 |
| $5.71 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.948 | $5.73 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 601.1 | $0.986 | $592.8 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 601.1 | $0.988 | $593.89 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 601.54 | $0.996 | $599.13 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 601.54 | $0.997 | $599.68 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 14.33 | $0.967 | $13.86 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 14.34 | $0.978 | $14.02 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 9.57 | $0.956 | $9.15 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 9.58 | $0.949 | $9.09 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | sell | 17.74 | $0.994 | $17.63 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 17.75 | $0.998 | $17.71 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 12.9 | $0.991 | $12.78 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 12.9 | $0.988 | $12.75 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?No | buy | 16.28 | $0.999 | $16.26 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 235.51 | $0.987 | $232.45 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 235.52 | $0.988 | $232.69 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 239.73 | $0.998 | $239.25 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 239.74 | $0.999 | $239.5 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 272.63 | $0.991 | $270.18 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 272.63 | $0.992 | $270.45 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 322.11 | $0.997 | $321.14 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 322.11 | $0.999 | $321.79 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.992 | $4.43 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.998 | $5.2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?Yes | buy | 9.6 | $0.989 | $9.49 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.991 | $8.43 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.992 | $1.14 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.820 | $3.21 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.989 | $2.48 | May 28, 2025 |
 Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.995 | $1.95 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo | buy | 1.69 | $0.992 | $1.68 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.993 | $1.72 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.992 | $2.18 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.985 | $1.36 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?Yes | buy | 2.96 | $0.993 | $2.94 | May 19, 2025 |
 Truth Social memecoin launch this week?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.991 | $5.13 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.997 | $3.16 | May 13, 2025 |
 Dogecoin all time high in May?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.996 | $2.47 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.991 | $1.08 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.996 | $1.94 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in April?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.998 | $2.04 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.993 | $1.4 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.990 | $1.75 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.994 | $1.91 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.998 | $1.51 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.998 | $2.15 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 2.39 | $0.997 | $2.38 | Apr 14, 2025 |