Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 149.72 | $0.160 | $22.46 | -$1.54 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.590 | $2.4 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 140.02 |
| $0.141 |
| $16.1 |
| -$3.63 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 211.11 | $0.085 | $13.72 | -$4.28 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.56 | $0.222 | $6.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 121.43 | $0.082 | $5.46 | -$4.54 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Yes | 106.3 | $0.038 | $2.6 | -$1.4 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 217.39 | $0.023 | $2.07 | -$2.93 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $1.96 | -$0.04 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17.09 | $0.137 | $1.7 | -$0.64 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 311.11 | $0.006 | $1.09 | -$0.91 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 5.92 | $0.169 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.86 | -$0.14 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
| sell |
| 7.46 |
| $0.253 |
| $1.89 |
| 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 236.35 | $0.021 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 127.5 | $0.157 | $20 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.98 | $0.179 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.283 | $14.89 | 13d ago |
 Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Yes | buy | 40.8 | $0.025 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.73 | $0.229 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.13 | $0.021 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.28 | $0.220 | $13.04 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.5 | $0.075 | $2.72 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.33 | $0.060 | $1.7 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.18 | $0.140 | $1.57 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.35 | $0.009 | $0.17 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.94 | $0.582 | $6.94 | 22d ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 21.76 | $0.333 | $7.25 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.35 | $0.310 | $6 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.95 | $0.190 | $5.88 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.84 | $0.190 | $7 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.320 | $13.91 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.180 | $1.42 | 29d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.160 | $15 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.61 | $0.180 | $4.97 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.19 | $0.177 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.22 | $0.089 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Yes | buy | 84.08 | $0.024 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.72 | $0.299 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |