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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 11.75 | $0.996 | $11.69 | -$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.75 | $0.996 | $11.7 | 3d ago |
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| Yes |
| 2.03 |
| $0.650 |
| $1.43 |
| +$0.11 |
| buy |
| 2.03 |
| $0.650 |
| $1.32 |
| 3d ago |
Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.997 | $13 | 16d ago |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | 16d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15?Yes | buy | 94.99 | $0.999 | $94.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?No | buy | 94.89 | $0.998 | $94.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 94.69 | $0.999 | $94.6 | May 30, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?Yes | buy | 94.59 | $0.999 | $94.5 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?Yes | buy | 94.49 | $0.999 | $94.4 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 94.29 | $0.998 | $94.1 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 94.09 | $0.999 | $94 | May 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?Yes | buy | 94.09 | $0.999 | $94 | May 8, 2026 |
Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 94.09 | $0.999 | $94 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?No | buy | 94.03 | $0.999 | $93.94 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 22?Yes | buy | 93.94 | $0.999 | $93.85 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 17?No | buy | 93.86 | $0.999 | $93.77 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 93.77 | $0.999 | $93.68 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.15 | $0.002 | $1.33 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 95.17 | $0.999 | $95.07 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No | buy | 95.08 | $0.999 | $94.98 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No | buy | 96.38 | $0.999 | $96.28 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 12?Yes | buy | 96.29 | $0.999 | $96.19 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 96.19 | $0.999 | $96.09 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?No | buy | 96.09 | $0.999 | $95.99 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 11?No | buy | 90.99 | $0.999 | $90.9 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 11?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 90.3 | $0.998 | $90.12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 18.05 | $0.831 | $15 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on January 14?No | buy | 94.06 | $0.999 | $93.97 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 93.97 | $0.999 | $93.88 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 4?No | buy | 93.88 | $0.999 | $93.79 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 28?Yes | buy | 93.78 | $0.999 | $93.69 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 53.61 | $0.999 | $53.56 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 17?Yes | buy | 422.02 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 17?No | buy | 40.08 | $0.998 | $40 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will "Ella McCay" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2.5m?Yes | buy | 35.05 | $0.998 | $35 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 26.02 | $0.999 | $25.99 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 6?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 18?No | buy | 19.02 | $0.999 | $19 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 18?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.999 | $1.26 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 21.93 | $0.999 | $21.91 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 8?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |