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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 63.46 | $0.977 | $62 | Aug 4, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 96.25 |
| $0.987 |
| $95 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming | buy | 207.87 | $0.890 | $185 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 221.77 | $0.992 | $220 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 137.06 | $0.985 | $135 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by July 31?No | buy | 90.73 | $0.992 | $90 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Lyon Make Finals at MSI 2026No | buy | 170.98 | $0.965 | $165 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 231.01 | $0.961 | $222 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 216.24 | $0.985 | $213 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 210 | $0.997 | $209.37 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 269.04 | $0.985 | $265 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 144.18 | $0.971 | $140 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 194.08 | $0.979 | $190 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 225.03 | $0.991 | $223 | May 14, 2026 |
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 252.78 | $0.989 | $250 | May 14, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 120.72 | $0.994 | $120 | May 14, 2026 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 178.29 | $0.993 | $177 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 10?Yes | buy | 170.77 | $0.995 | $169.92 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 202.84 | $0.986 | $200 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 220.29 | $0.976 | $215 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 202.84 | $0.986 | $200 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 203.25 | $0.984 | $200 | Mar 9, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 202.91 | $0.986 | $200 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 188.89 | $0.990 | $187 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Chainlink dip to $4 in February?No | buy | 134.02 | $0.970 | $130 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 253.04 | $0.988 | $250 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on February 3?Yes | buy | 191.15 | $0.994 | $190 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 257.06 | $0.992 | $255 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | buy | 252.27 | $0.991 | $250 | Jan 18, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 315.1 | $0.987 | $311 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.880 | $220 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 9?No | sell | 250.5 | $0.520 | $130.26 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 9?No | buy | 250.5 | $0.998 | $250 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on December 9?Yes | buy | 88.26 | $0.997 | $88 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No | buy | 320.38 | $0.999 | $320 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 14?No | buy | 224.74 | $0.970 | $218 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 14?Down | buy | 100 | $0.989 | $98.9 | Nov 14, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 305.61 | $0.998 | $305 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 171.74 | $0.920 | $158 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will the price of XRP be above $3.50 on October 13?No | buy | 155.31 | $0.998 | $155 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 221.05 | $0.950 | $210 | Sep 14, 2025 |
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?No | buy | 66.2 | $0.997 | $66 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on August 23?Up | buy | 275.23 | $0.981 | $270 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4700 and $4800 on August 16 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 250.25 | $0.999 | $250 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5100 August 11–17?No | buy | 48.05 | $0.999 | $48 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| buy | 281.97 | $0.993 | $280 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?No | sell | 273.73 | $0.993 | $271.81 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?No | buy | 273.74 | $0.990 | $271 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,500 on July 14?Yes | buy | 136.28 | $0.991 | $135 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $108,000 on July 14?Yes | buy | 145.75 | $0.988 | $144 | Jul 12, 2025 |