Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? | No | 10 | $0.780 | $7.25 | -$0.55 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Jun 22, 2026 |
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| No |
| 4.99 |
| $0.954 |
| $4.98 |
| +$0.22 |
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.982 | $4.88 | -$0.03 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.985 | $4.82 | -$0.11 |
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.967 | $4.81 | -$0.03 |
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 5 | $0.940 | $4.6 | -$0.1 |
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.48 | -$0.03 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.39 | $0.952 | $4.36 | +$0.18 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat? | No | 4.65 | $0.900 | $3.88 | -$0.3 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 5 | $0.820 | $3.38 | -$0.73 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 5 | $0.640 | $3.23 | +$0.03 |
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? | No | 3 | $0.982 | $2.82 | -$0.13 |
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 2.82 | $0.860 | $2.76 | +$0.33 |
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? | No | 2.51 | $0.830 | $2.22 | +$0.14 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 2.4 | $0.688 | $1.88 | +$0.23 |
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | No | 1.78 | $0.984 | $1.77 | +$0.02 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.68 | $0.946 | $1.67 | +$0.08 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | No | 1.11 | $0.870 | $1.04 | +$0.08 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | No | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1.03 | +$0.04 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 1.05 | $0.930 | $1.02 | +$0.04 |
Will the Republican Party win the CA-19 House seat? | No | 1 | $0.962 | $1 | +$0.03 |
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 0.99 | $0.982 | $0.98 | +$0.01 |
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 1 | $0.960 | $0.97 | +$0.01 |
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat? | No | 1 | $0.926 | $0.94 | +$0.01 |
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.4 | $0.720 | $0.91 | -$0.1 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.965 |
| $4.83 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.931 | $4.66 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.935 | $4.68 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.990 | $1.03 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.916 | $1.04 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.984 | $1.19 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-01 House seat?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.955 | $1.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.989 | $1.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 1.83 | $0.941 | $1.72 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.968 | $1.91 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.995 | $2.24 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.956 | $2.19 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next?No | sell | 2.58 | $0.989 | $2.55 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.937 | $2.52 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.980 | $2.64 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No | sell | 2.74 | $0.998 | $2.73 | Jun 17, 2026 |
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.86 | $0.989 | $2.83 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June?No | sell | 3 | $0.990 | $2.97 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?No | sell | 3 | $0.882 | $2.65 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.980 | $3.19 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.987 | $3.22 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | sell | 3.3 | $0.940 | $3.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?No | sell | 3.77 | $0.975 | $3.68 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?No | sell | 3.94 | $0.926 | $3.65 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 3.98 | $0.745 | $2.97 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?No | sell | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.937 | $3.75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?No | sell | 4.29 | $0.975 | $4.18 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | sell | 4.29 | $0.963 | $4.13 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.964 | $4.18 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 4.43 | $0.920 | $4.08 | Jun 17, 2026 |
French election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.63 | $0.990 | $4.58 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 4.68 | $0.990 | $4.63 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.935 | $1.87 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.909 | $4.55 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Stripe IPO before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in June?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.966 | $4.83 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |