Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 'Look Back' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Year Award for 2025?Yes | buy | 13.35 | $0.670 | $8.94 | May 16, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.670 |
| $16.75 |
| May 16, 2025 |
| Will 'Look Back' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Year Award for 2025?Yes | buy | 81.75 | $0.734 | $60 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | May 12, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be from Europe?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in April?Yes | buy | 178.28 | $0.056 | $10 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 307.69 | $0.065 | $20 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 158.97 | $0.063 | $10 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 124.34 | $0.040 | $5 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 157.03 | $0.032 | $5 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 36.5 | $0.420 | $15.33 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?Yes | sell | 69.65 | $0.224 | $15.57 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 217 | $0.080 | $17.36 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-79?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?Yes | buy | 69.66 | $0.287 | $20 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 103.35 | $0.194 | $20 | Dec 11, 2024 |