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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 10.23 | $0.880 | $9 | Nov 15, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.500 |
| $5 |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.914 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 11.83 | $0.982 | $11.62 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.881 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 11.83 | $0.845 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.007 | $0.15 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.965 | $1.13 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | sell | 13.97 | $0.999 | $13.96 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?Yes | buy | 21.9 | $0.137 | $3 | Oct 28, 2025 |
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?No | sell | 3.4 | $0.880 | $2.99 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 6.84 | $0.850 | $5.81 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.440 | $2.6 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.910 | $2.07 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.879 | $4 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?No | buy | 11.14 | $0.449 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.340 | $8 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4 | Oct 13, 2025 |
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Northern Ireland vs. Germany end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Mariners vs. Blue JaysMariners | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Oct 12, 2025 |