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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.008 | $0.25 | May 23, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 6.78 |
| $0.032 |
| $0.22 |
| May 18, 2026 |
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | May 17, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No | sell | 22 | $0.180 | $3.96 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | May 17, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No | buy | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | May 16, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.100 | $1.1 | May 16, 2026 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?No | buy | 10 | $0.269 | $2.69 | May 15, 2026 |
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be between 90 and 95?Yes | buy | 128.24 | $0.009 | $1.21 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.009 | $2.25 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?Yes | buy | 14.57 | $0.100 | $1.46 | May 13, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?No | buy | 11.25 | $0.013 | $0.15 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?No | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | May 12, 2026 |
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | May 12, 2026 |
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | May 12, 2026 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.017 | $0.6 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.29 | $0.052 | $0.8 | May 12, 2026 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.092 | $1.01 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?Yes | buy | 8.83 | $0.072 | $0.64 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?No | buy | 11.69 | $0.059 | $0.69 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.007 | $0.98 | May 12, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No | buy | 8 | $0.240 | $1.92 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 40.17 | $0.006 | $0.24 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?No | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | sell | 7 | $0.010 | $0.07 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 30.17 | $0.057 | $1.72 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?No | sell | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.033 | $1.02 | May 7, 2026 |
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.041 | $0.57 | May 7, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?No | buy | 13.43 | $0.100 | $1.34 | May 5, 2026 |
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No | buy | 9.6 | $0.140 | $1.34 | May 5, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | May 5, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.059 | $0.45 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?No | sell | 4.62 | $0.060 | $0.28 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | May 5, 2026 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.390 | $2.34 | May 5, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?No | sell | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | May 4, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | May 4, 2026 |