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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.984 | $1.32 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.33 |
| $0.977 |
| $1.3 |
| Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.997 | $1.36 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.995 | $1.45 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.980 | $1.53 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.999 | $1.15 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.997 | $1.23 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.994 | $1.13 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.994 | $1.48 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.984 | $1.53 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.975 | $1.23 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.984 | $1.27 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.969 | $2.6 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.985 | $2.45 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8.52 | $0.210 | $1.79 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.280 | $2.18 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.961 | $2.18 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.995 | $1.5 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 3 | $0.993 | $2.98 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.982 | $3 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.975 | $2.22 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.52 | $0.210 | $1.79 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.270 | $2.1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.916 | $2.5 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 3.62 | $0.968 | $3.5 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.965 | $4 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.962 | $3 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.986 | $5.52 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.952 | $4.95 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.17 | $0.982 | $5.08 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.984 | $5.51 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 6.04 | $0.990 | $5.98 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.637 | $1.21K | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.31K | $0.363 | $1.2K | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.993 | $6 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 22.49 | $0.870 | $19.57 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.49 | $0.890 | $20.02 | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 197.41 | $0.458 | $90.41 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 197.41 | $0.468 | $92.39 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 174.98 | $0.528 | $92.39 | Sep 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 174.98 | $0.528 | $92.39 | Sep 5, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 108.7 | $0.850 | $92.4 | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 108.71 | $0.850 | $92.4 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 116.96 | $0.790 | $92.4 | Sep 2, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 116.96 | $0.830 | $97.08 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 97.17 | $0.503 | $48.88 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 97.17 | $0.496 | $48.2 | Aug 26, 2024 |