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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 393.69 | $0.584 | $147.64 | -$82.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.450 |
| $36.5 |
| -$8.5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 68.18 | $0.440 | $11.93 | -$18.07 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 600 | $0.026 | $2.7 | -$12.9 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 10 | $0.033 | $0.35 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.150 |
| $30 |
| 10d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 79.74 | $0.990 | $78.95 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 225.8 | $0.271 | $61.26 | 11d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | 11d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 79.74 | $0.970 | $77.35 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.700 | $30 | 13d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 36.36 | $0.820 | $29.82 | 13d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | 19d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.35 | $0.095 | $10 | 29d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | 29d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 159.49 | $0.627 | $100 | 29d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 638.65 | $0.120 | $76.64 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 326.15 | $0.307 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 187.5 | $0.060 | $11.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 313.23 | $0.061 | $19.14 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 207.98 | $0.480 | $99.83 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 313.24 | $0.319 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No | sell | 212.67 | $0.966 | $205.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.160 | $30 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 126.58 | $0.460 | $58.23 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 126.58 | $0.316 | $40 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No | buy | 332.57 | $0.601 | $200 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.075 | $15 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 80.78 | $0.619 | $50 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 410 | $0.800 | $328 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 370.37 | $0.540 | $200 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 106.26 | $0.973 | $103.39 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under | sell | 357.69 | $0.999 | $357.33 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 357.69 | $0.559 | $200 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 106.27 | $0.941 | $100 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 119.05 | $0.420 | $50 | Jun 22, 2026 |