Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 117 | $0.170 | $109.34 | +$89.45 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.760 | $15.96 | 59m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.820 |
| $21.75 |
| -$2.85 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 44 | $0.584 | $21.34 | -$4.37 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 25 | $0.720 | $17.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 21 | $0.760 | $15.86 | -$0.1 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.981 |
| $19.62 |
| 1h ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 27.99 | $0.903 | $25.28 | 18d ago |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.720 | $18 | 20d ago |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 58 | $0.966 | $56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 33 | $0.500 | $16.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.660 | $21.78 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.590 | $11.21 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.167 | $7.68 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.180 | $10.44 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 58 | $0.680 | $39.44 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.017 | $1.7 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 27 | $0.977 | $26.38 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.019 | $0.76 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | sell | 51 | $0.991 | $50.54 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.343 | $18.84 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.265 | $14.56 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | buy | 51 | $0.973 | $49.62 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.740 | $19.98 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.429 | $19.73 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.210 | $12.6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.952 | $32.36 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | sell | 32 | $0.974 | $31.17 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 95 | $0.920 | $87.4 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | buy | 29 | $0.690 | $20.01 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.310 | $18.6 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.630 | $24.57 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.939 | $32.86 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.340 | $19.72 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.369 | $19.93 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.993 | $50.64 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 45 | $0.550 | $24.75 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.930 | $29.76 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.704 | $24.63 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.531 | $29.23 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.966 | $47.33 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.966 | $1.93 | Mar 1, 2026 |