Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 13.88 |
| $0.998 |
| $13.85 |
| May 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.74 | $0.364 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 5-10m views on day 1?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 5-10m views on day 1?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Will JD Vance say "Haitian" during the debate?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Oct 2, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz say "Haitian" during the debate?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Oct 2, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "wall" at debate?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?No | buy | 81.08 | $0.370 | $30 | Sep 10, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Aug 12, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Weird" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Aug 12, 2024 |
Will Democratic VP nominee be a white man?No | sell | 219.98 | $0.100 | $22 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Will Democratic VP nominee be a white man?No | buy | 25 | $0.220 | $5.5 | Jul 22, 2024 |