Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.644 | $32.21 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.300 |
| $6 |
| Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.186 | $4.65 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.038 | $1.11 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | sell | 60 | $0.928 | $55.71 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.9 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?No | buy | 50 | $0.756 | $37.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.965 | $96.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 60 | $0.370 | $22.2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.995 | $29.84 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.31 | $0.951 | $96.35 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 48.97 | $0.936 | $45.82 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.841 | $25.22 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 48.97 | $0.812 | $39.76 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | sell | 21.36 | $0.941 | $20.1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 21.36 | $0.772 | $16.49 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 68.31 | $0.092 | $6.26 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.580 | $59.16 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.760 | $60.8 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?No | sell | 50.01 | $0.565 | $28.26 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?No | buy | 50.01 | $0.690 | $34.51 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.530 | $26.49 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Yes | buy | 32.39 | $0.820 | $26.56 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No | sell | 50 | $0.723 | $36.15 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 68.31 | $0.380 | $25.96 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No | buy | 50 | $0.608 | $30.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.680 | $40.8 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.914 | $45.7 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.782 | $7.82 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 91.32 | $0.781 | $71.32 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.863 | $43.15 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by December 31?No | sell | 63.74 | $0.964 | $61.45 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.181 | $18.05 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.819 | $24.57 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.630 | $30 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Grok 4.20 released by December 31?No | buy | 63.74 | $0.780 | $49.72 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | sell | 60 | $0.960 | $57.6 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 60 | $0.849 | $50.94 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 92.56 | $0.490 | $45.35 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.988 | $98.8 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 290 | $0.220 | $63.8 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 139 | $0.103 | $14.32 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 121.33 | $0.180 | $21.85 | Dec 12, 2025 |