Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 820 | $0.886 | $766.7 | +$39.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 7h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.98K |
| $0.386 |
| $702.57 |
| -$62.23 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 728.04 | $0.837 | $658.88 | +$49.53 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.793 | $595 | +$39.6 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.266 | $407.68 | +$101.77 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.830 | $342 | +$10 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 313.79 | $0.869 | $306.26 | +$33.51 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 350 | $0.834 | $304.5 | +$12.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 250 | $0.130 | $201.25 | +$168.75 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.864 | $192 | +$19.1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 150 | $0.857 | $117.75 | -$10.75 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 128.01 | $0.857 | $115.85 | +$6.14 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 100 | $0.885 | $88.5 | +$0 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.710 | $85.5 | +$14.5 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | No | 409.99 | $0.246 | $65.6 | -$35.34 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.580 | $52.5 | -$5.5 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 89.75 | $0.120 | $39.49 | +$28.72 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 399.73 | $0.025 | $27.18 | +$17.1 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 508.84 | $0.055 | $22.9 | -$5.11 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | Yes | 217.63 | $0.176 | $20.68 | -$17.73 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 141.57 | $0.199 | $14.16 | -$14.01 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $5 | -$5 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 200 | $0.135 | $3.3 | -$23.67 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 250 | $0.010 | $2.38 | -$0.1 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.173 | $2.21 | -$2.99 |
| sell |
| 41 |
| $0.090 |
| $3.69 |
| 1d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 52.84 | $0.070 | $3.7 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.090 | $5.58 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | 2d ago |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 138.6 | $0.027 | $3.72 | 2d ago |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 261.13 | $0.024 | $6.37 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 105 | $0.250 | $26.25 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.99 | $0.229 | $4.81 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 17.99 | $0.990 | $17.81 | 4d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.41 | $0.260 | $7.13 | 5d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.250 | $5.25 | 5d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 104.14 | $0.943 | $98.16 | 6d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 15.41 | $0.990 | $15.26 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.959 | $28.77 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 350 | $0.983 | $344.05 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.956 | $19.11 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.958 | $9.58 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.983 | $49.15 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 15.46 | $0.980 | $15.15 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.970 | $48.5 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 560.02 | $0.966 | $540.72 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.979 | $14.69 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.978 | $4.89 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.969 | $48.45 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | 8d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 8d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.983 | $19.66 | 9d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.979 | $19.58 | 9d ago |