Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 94.59 | $0.169 | $43.94 | +$27.94 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 92.78 | $0.097 | $9 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.16 |
| $0.860 |
| $1.07 |
| +$0.07 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 136.37 | $0.022 | $0.2 | -$2.8 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 92.78 | $0.097 | $0.14 | -$8.86 |
 Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 26.5 | $0.189 | $0.12 | -$4.88 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 111.73 | $0.045 | $0.06 | -$4.94 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.230 | $0.01 | -$4.99 |
| buy |
| 4 |
| $0.250 |
| $1 |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.022 | $3 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.140 | $1.17 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.420 | $1.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.810 | $1.3 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 84.29 | $0.178 | $15 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.009 | $0.64 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.920 | $1.21 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.3 | $0.097 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.060 | $0.43 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.990 | $1.02 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.14 | $0.080 | $0.89 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.965 | $7 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.043 | $1.08 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.770 | $1.22 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.550 | $1.49 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No | buy | 11.55 | $0.952 | $11 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 111.73 | $0.045 | $5 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 26.5 | $0.189 | $5 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |