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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 168.66 | $0.896 | $142.52 | -$8.7 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 57.55 | $0.890 | $51.22 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 116.24 |
| $0.860 |
| $107.7 |
| +$7.7 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 106.38 | $0.940 | $104.04 | +$4.04 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 103.95 | $0.962 | $103.17 | +$3.17 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 114.94 | $0.870 | $97.7 | -$2.3 |
| sell |
| 51.27 |
| $0.999 |
| $51.22 |
| Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?No | buy | 10.23 | $0.960 | $9.82 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.910 | $9.88 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.939 | $13.42 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | sell | 13.72 | $0.987 | $13.54 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.939 | $4.78 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 14?Yes | sell | 6.33 | $0.770 | $4.87 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?No | buy | 21.48 | $0.963 | $20.69 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | sell | 20.88 | $0.996 | $20.8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 25.65 | $0.970 | $24.89 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 25.98 | $0.961 | $24.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 14?Yes | buy | 6.24 | $0.700 | $4.37 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 14?No | sell | 71.02 | $0.066 | $4.71 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 14?No | buy | 70.63 | $0.889 | $62.81 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 14?No | sell | 63.58 | $0.999 | $63.52 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 14?No | buy | 63.04 | $0.830 | $52.33 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 13?Yes | sell | 53.29 | $0.999 | $53.24 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 13?Yes | buy | 36.95 | $0.960 | $35.47 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.999 | $30.27 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13?No | sell | 5.34 | $0.999 | $5.33 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 13?Yes | buy | 16.23 | $0.939 | $15.24 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 13?No | sell | 15.35 | $0.999 | $15.33 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 13?No | buy | 15.33 | $0.969 | $14.85 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.930 | $4.95 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?Yes | buy | 30.29 | $0.989 | $29.95 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No | sell | 11.52 | $0.999 | $11.51 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?No | buy | 38.33 | $0.978 | $37.49 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 42.25 | $0.890 | $37.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 17.3 | $0.794 | $13.74 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 12.61 | $0.793 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 17.61 | $0.890 | $15.67 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No | buy | 11.52 | $0.978 | $11.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 11.34 | $0.994 | $11.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 11.35 | $0.929 | $10.54 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 6-12?No | sell | 10.58 | $0.996 | $10.54 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 10.66 | $0.964 | $10.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | buy | 8.35 | $0.973 | $8.12 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 103.95 | $0.962 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 116.24 | $0.860 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | sell | 10.08 | $0.994 | $10.02 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 6-12?No | buy | 10.57 | $0.973 | $10.28 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11?Yes | sell | 5.46 | $0.999 | $5.45 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 12?No | sell | 5.77 | $0.849 | $4.9 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on April 12?No | buy | 18.05 | $0.972 | $17.54 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 12?No | buy | 5.73 | $0.860 | $4.93 | Apr 11, 2026 |