Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.280 | $0.9 | May 1, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 3.57 |
| $0.160 |
| $0.57 |
| May 1, 2026 |
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.96 | $0.330 | $1.31 | May 1, 2026 |
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.190 | $0.95 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.150 | $0.94 | May 1, 2026 |
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.100 | $0.67 | May 1, 2026 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.130 | $1.08 | May 1, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.98 | $0.079 | $0.87 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | May 1, 2026 |
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.029 | $0.66 | May 1, 2026 |
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.017 | $0.94 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | sell | 58.69 | $0.012 | $0.7 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.009 | $0.82 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.010 | $0.91 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.010 | $0.91 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.007 | $0.78 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.007 | $0.88 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.007 | $1.4 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes | sell | 406.45 | $0.002 | $0.65 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 58.69 | $0.017 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes | buy | 406.45 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.091 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.252 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Kash Patel out by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |