Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 10.87 | $0.644 | $9.21 | +$2.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.360 | $0.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.81 |
| $0.900 |
| $1.69 |
| +$0.06 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 6.48 | $0.309 | $0.49 | -$1.51 |
| buy |
| 33.72 |
| $0.949 |
| $32 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 11?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.320 | $0.57 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?Yes | buy | 41.05 | $0.950 | $39 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.520 | $2.39 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 116.88 | $0.770 | $90 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.280 | $2.24 | May 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | sell | 12.91 | $0.800 | $10.33 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | sell | 12.4 | $0.780 | $9.67 | May 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.330 | $0.97 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.101 | $0.83 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.100 | $0.67 | May 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 65.93 | $0.910 | $60 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.644 | $7 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |