Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 23.81 |
| $0.210 |
| $5 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | sell | 202.63 | $0.228 | $46.14 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | sell | 44.44 | $0.020 | $0.89 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 31.66 | $0.193 | $6.13 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 24.09 | $0.302 | $7.28 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.440 | $8.98 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.291 | $7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.080 | $5.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.100 | $7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 31.67 | $0.158 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 150 | $0.200 | $30 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target AND Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target AND Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target | buy | 110.96 | $0.086 | $9.52 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on July 15?Yes | buy | 67.5 | $0.063 | $4.22 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 14?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.828 | $4.3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on July 14?Yes | sell | 10.01 | $0.600 | $6.01 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 14?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.928 | $4.9 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on July 14?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.584 | $5.85 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.400 | $1.11 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?No | sell | 4.28 | $0.999 | $4.28 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.070 | $0.36 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.998 | $5.54 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.120 | $0.12 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.999 | $5.09 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.999 | $6.24 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 15?No | sell | 7.24 | $0.680 | $4.92 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.690 | $5.65 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.49 | $0.064 | $0.93 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 14.74 | $0.395 | $5.82 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.048 | $0.74 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 13.6 | $0.535 | $7.27 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.160 | $4.21 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 31.34 | $0.290 | $9.09 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 14?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.760 | $3.85 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?Yes | buy | 21.83 | $0.165 | $3.61 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | sell | 19.76 | $0.221 | $4.37 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.110 | $3.67 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?No | sell | 6.68 | $0.981 | $6.55 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.976 | $5.07 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 14?No | sell | 10.58 | $0.994 | $10.52 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.630 | $7.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.21 | $0.220 | $7.75 | Jul 14, 2026 |