Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | No | 22.5 | $0.600 | $20.36 | +$6.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes | sell | 10.49 | $0.014 | $0.15 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 15.2 |
| $0.340 |
| $15.11 |
| +$9.94 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 20 | $0.600 | $13.2 | +$1.2 |
 Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | No | 23.8 | $0.580 | $12.54 | -$1.26 |
 Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | No | 18 | $0.610 | $10.17 | -$0.81 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | Yes | 18 | $0.500 | $10.02 | +$1.02 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | No | 10.3 | $0.320 | $9.86 | +$6.56 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18.4 | $0.510 | $9.84 | +$0.46 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? | No | 16.7 | $0.460 | $9.19 | +$1.5 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.99 | $0.180 | $7.86 | +$5.88 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.6 | $0.430 | $6.41 | +$1.86 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | No | 9.3 | $0.240 | $6.09 | +$3.86 |
 Will Trump praise Javier Milei in September? | Yes | 15.9 | $0.370 | $5.96 | +$0.08 |
 Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | Yes | 15.8 | $0.430 | $5.29 | -$1.5 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September? | Yes | 11.3 | $0.290 | $4.58 | +$1.3 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | Yes | 12.9 | $0.380 | $4.32 | -$0.58 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 14.57 | $0.350 | $3.93 | -$1.17 |
 Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee? | No | 11.8 | $0.320 | $3.89 | +$0.12 |
 NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23? | Yes | 14.3 | $0.300 | $3.65 | -$0.64 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August? | Yes | 9.9 | $0.189 | $2.29 | +$0.42 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | Yes | 11.4 | $0.210 | $2.11 | -$0.29 |
 Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | Yes | 11.33 | $0.410 | $2.1 | -$2.55 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown? | No | 11.5 | $0.390 | $1.9 | -$2.59 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 11.64 | $0.390 | $1.51 | -$3.03 |
 Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in September 2026? | Yes | 8.9 | $0.100 | $0.67 | -$0.22 |
| sell |
| 7.69 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.03 |
| 6d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.021 | $0.26 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?No | buy | 10.77 | $0.130 | $1.4 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 14.57 | $0.350 | $5.1 | 7d ago |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August?No | sell | 17.8 | $0.999 | $17.78 | 9d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | 12d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 23?No | sell | 18.2 | $0.999 | $18.18 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 22?No | sell | 11.99 | $0.999 | $11.98 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 21?No | sell | 23.1 | $0.999 | $23.08 | 19d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.999 | $7.39 | 19d ago |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | sell | 13 | $0.999 | $12.99 | 20d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20?No | sell | 17.6 | $0.999 | $17.58 | 20d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?No | sell | 15.6 | $0.999 | $15.58 | 20d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?No | sell | 15.3 | $0.999 | $15.28 | 22d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 17?No | sell | 24 | $0.999 | $23.98 | 23d ago |
 Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 11.96 | $0.460 | $5.5 | 24d ago |
 Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?Yes | buy | 9.78 | $0.460 | $4.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 8?No | sell | 20.9 | $0.999 | $20.88 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.260 | $1.77 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?No | sell | 13.6 | $0.999 | $13.59 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.238 | $1.64 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $80 in July?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.238 | $1.68 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?No | buy | 12.49 | $0.570 | $7.12 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.238 | $1.63 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.210 | $1.4 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.780 | $18 | Jul 25, 2026 |