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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 1.3K | $0.340 | $1.09K | +$644.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 7?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.877 | $26.3 | 1d ago |
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| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.877 |
| $29.87 |
| +$3.57 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 917.46 | $0.122 | $25.23 | -$87.06 |
Ramp IPO before 2027? | Yes | 134 | $0.150 | $12.73 | -$7.37 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 297.69 | $0.143 | $1.93 | -$40.74 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | Yes | 44.62 | $0.037 | $0.69 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 59.64K |
| $0.970 |
| $57.85K |
| 9d ago |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 664.38 | $0.171 | $113.87 | 18d ago |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.200 | $30 | 18d ago |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.14 | $0.240 | $4.83 | 18d ago |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 780 | $0.302 | $235.8 | 18d ago |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 545.22 | $0.649 | $354.02 | 18d ago |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.506 | $542.07 | 18d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 155.9 | $0.860 | $134.08 | 18d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.377 | $16.21 | 18d ago |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 17?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | 23d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.06K | $0.383 | $1.56K | 23d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.11K | $0.400 | $1.64K | 23d ago |
Will Trump say "Pelosi" in August?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.850 | $157.25 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?Yes | buy | 792.99 | $0.768 | $609.39 | Aug 7, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.09K | $0.601 | $1.86K | Aug 5, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.87K | $0.513 | $2.5K | Aug 5, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.503 | $5.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.63K | $0.640 | $2.96K | Aug 5, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.27K | $0.384 | $2.02K | Aug 5, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.29K | $0.125 | $285.93 | Aug 2, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.226 | $310.23 | Aug 2, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.93K | $0.224 | $2.45K | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in August?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.728 | $31.29 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in August?Yes | buy | 119.54 | $0.714 | $85.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 15?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.580 | $6.9 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 11?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.849 | $1.31K | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in July?Yes | buy | 12.64 | $0.520 | $6.57 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 297.69 | $0.143 | $42.67 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.340 | $442.84 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Yes | buy | 292 | $0.110 | $32.12 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Yes | buy | 29.01 | $0.370 | $10.73 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.21K | $0.034 | $314.2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.074 | $98.43 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 744 | $0.127 | $94.19 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 573.45 | $0.117 | $67.06 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.63K | $0.220 | $359.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.128 | $137.97 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.36K | $0.029 | $242.43 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.648 | $77.71 | Jun 30, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 426.6 | $0.305 | $130.26 | Jun 28, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.120 | $253.69 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 242.94 | $0.610 | $148.19 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 473.07 | $0.908 | $429.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | buy | 588.9 | $0.593 | $349.22 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | buy | 21.9 | $0.502 | $10.98 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | buy | 21.32 | $0.432 | $9.21 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 230.12 | $0.488 | $112.38 | Jun 21, 2026 |