Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 174.76 | $0.880 | $169.43 | +$15.64 |
 Ramp IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 36.71 | $0.870 | $31.94 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 44.48 |
| $0.770 |
| $40.25 |
| +$6 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 36.34 | $0.830 | $35.74 | +$5.58 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | No | 34.46 | $0.870 | $31.88 | +$1.9 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 38.94 | $0.770 | $25.31 | -$4.67 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 36.34 | $0.550 | $22.35 | +$2.36 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 11.23 | $0.887 | $10.8 | +$0.83 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 18.5 | $0.519 | $9.71 | +$0.11 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 72.25 | $0.420 | $6.5 | -$23.84 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | 68.93 | $0.440 | $5.86 | -$24.47 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.38 | $0.800 | $1.36 | +$0.25 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | 1.01 | $0.690 | $0.96 | +$0.26 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.860 | $0.94 | +$0.08 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1 | $0.894 | $0.91 | +$0.01 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 1 | $0.620 | $0.91 | +$0.29 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 1.01 | $0.520 | $0.88 | +$0.36 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1 | $0.887 | $0.81 | -$0.07 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.630 | $0.8 | +$0.17 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.480 | $0.75 | +$0.27 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1 | $0.870 | $0.75 | -$0.13 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 1 | $0.750 | $0.73 | -$0.02 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 1 | $0.450 | $0.36 | -$0.1 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1 | $0.370 | $0.07 | -$0.31 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.110 | $0.06 | -$0.05 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.350 | $0.01 | -$0.34 |
| sell |
| 49.39 |
| $0.995 |
| $49.14 |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 34.07 | $0.830 | $28.28 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | sell | 38 | $0.682 | $25.93 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 54.01 | $0.005 | $0.27 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 175.73 | $0.730 | $128.28 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?No | sell | 68.73 | $0.305 | $20.93 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 51.6 | $0.590 | $30.44 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?Yes | sell | 575.6 | $0.197 | $113.27 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 172.32 | $0.720 | $124.07 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 433.56 | $0.164 | $70.97 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 290.06 | $0.500 | $145.03 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 399.92 | $0.446 | $178.4 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 311.32 | $0.511 | $159.24 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.050 | $71.34 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 309.27 | $0.780 | $241.23 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 241.71 | $0.880 | $212.7 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Named storm forms before hurricane season?No | sell | 53.02 | $0.667 | $35.37 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 236.97 | $0.823 | $195.05 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | sell | 220.61 | $0.890 | $196.34 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | sell | 197.6 | $0.992 | $196.02 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | sell | 311.23 | $0.012 | $3.62 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.015 | $15.94 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | sell | 156.86 | $0.670 | $105.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.16 | $0.320 | $6.77 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 81.15 | $0.260 | $21.1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.810 | $0.01 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?Yes | sell | 20.38 | $0.810 | $16.51 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?No | sell | 587.16 | $0.007 | $4.14 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 137.48 | $0.740 | $101.74 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.840 | $0.01 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No | sell | 142.63 | $0.830 | $118.38 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No | buy | 62 | $0.840 | $52.08 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?No | sell | 12.72 | $0.822 | $10.45 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 187.63 | $0.820 | $153.86 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 159.98 | $0.710 | $113.59 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.680 | $0.38 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 145.65 | $0.810 | $117.98 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.991 | $29.73 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 276.7 | $0.150 | $41.5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 310.27 | $0.580 | $179.96 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 350.53 | $0.999 | $350.18 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?No | sell | 48.02 | $0.870 | $41.78 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?No | buy | 49.02 | $0.870 | $42.65 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?No | sell | 126.05 | $0.140 | $17.65 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?No | sell | 209.98 | $0.150 | $31.5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?No | sell | 283 | $0.150 | $42.45 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | sell | 80.6 | $0.810 | $65.29 | Jan 25, 2026 |