Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.54 | $0.823 | $1.27 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.61 |
| $0.984 |
| $1.58 |
| Jun 10, 2025 |
 Doge ETF approved by July 31?No | sell | 2.19 | $0.870 | $1.91 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.910 | $1.2 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.950 | $2.96 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.630 | $1.87 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 25% aluminum tariff in effect before May?Yes | buy | 2.64 | $0.940 | $2.48 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | sell | 2.35 | $0.810 | $1.9 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.920 | $1.21 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.840 | $1.98 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.910 | $1.47 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.946 | $1.46 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will the Vikings resign Sam Darnold?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.530 | $1.1 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Yes | sell | 2.28 | $0.800 | $1.82 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 0.07 | $0.750 | $0.05 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.740 | $0.85 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.63 | $0.993 | $0.63 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 0.72 | $0.965 | $0.69 | Dec 9, 2024 |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.770 | $1.69 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 50m-75m views on day 1?Yes | buy | 3.68 | $0.530 | $1.95 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.580 | $2.06 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Yes | buy | 2.29 | $0.760 | $1.74 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.670 | $0.01 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.630 | $0.97 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 0.55 | $0.949 | $0.52 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Ryan Selkis arrested in 2024?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.927 | $0.11 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Is John McAfee alive?No | buy | 0.53 | $0.986 | $0.52 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Ansem criminal charges in 2024?No | buy | 0.51 | $0.940 | $0.48 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 0.89 | $0.540 | $0.48 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Another Trump x Musk space before October?No | sell | 0.82 | $0.930 | $0.76 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.560 | $1.26 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Manchester City beat Ipswich Town?Yes | buy | 0.32 | $0.910 | $0.29 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Another Trump x Musk space before October?No | buy | 0.83 | $0.750 | $0.62 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Chinese Taipei win the 2024 Little League World Series?Yes | buy | 0.38 | $0.880 | $0.33 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.340 | $0.69 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.140 | $0.15 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Gabriel Attal next Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 3.87 | $0.060 | $0.23 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 0.55 | $0.953 | $0.52 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.724 | $0.75 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.380 | $1.15 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Solana all time high in August?No | buy | 0.19 | $0.937 | $0.18 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.846 | $0.88 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 0.56 | $0.968 | $0.54 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.967 | $0.38 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Was Eric Trump hacked?No | buy | 0.52 | $0.999 | $0.52 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Will J. B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 6.19K | $0.001 | $6.19 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 5.49K | $0.001 | $5.49 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Elizabeth Warren be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 3.54K | $0.001 | $3.54 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Biden cognitive test in July?Yes | buy | 245 | $0.002 | $0.49 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will $ETH reach 3.7k in July?Yes | buy | 490 | $0.001 | $0.49 | Aug 1, 2024 |