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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 172.41 | $0.580 | $135.34 | +$35.34 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 15.53 | $0.064 | $1 | 5d ago |
| No |
| 144.65 |
| $0.678 |
| $117.89 |
| +$19.75 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 253.02 | $0.450 | $64.52 | -$49.3 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 40.36 | $0.547 | $27.04 | +$4.95 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 203.3 | $0.505 | $25.41 | -$77.32 |
| Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 40.45 | $0.063 | $5.58 | +$3.04 |
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes| buy |
| 24.92 |
| $0.062 |
| $1.55 |
| 5d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.84 | $0.350 | $30 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.46 | $0.520 | $9.08 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.95 | $0.912 | $9.07 | 9d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 22.71 | $0.780 | $17.71 | 13d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.892 | $18.73 | 13d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | 13d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 292.32 | $0.230 | $67.25 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.86 | $0.212 | $17.99 | 14d ago |
 Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 38.95 | $0.210 | $8.18 | 14d ago |
 Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.530 | $15.9 | 14d ago |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 42.19 | $0.237 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 25.5 | $0.530 | $13.52 | 14d ago |
 Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.540 | $5.67 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 207.47 | $0.241 | $50 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | 15d ago |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 30 | $0.218 | $6.54 | 15d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 16d ago |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 20.09 | $0.221 | $4.44 | 16d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.440 | $10.56 | 16d ago |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 18.3 | $0.219 | $4.01 | 16d ago |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.206 | $1.07 | 16d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 17d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.480 | $3.26 | 19d ago |
 Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.840 | $70 | 20d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.95 | $0.772 | $20.81 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.78 | $0.770 | $23.7 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.99 | $0.550 | $13.74 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.540 | $2.51 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.72 | $0.530 | $3.03 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.85 | $0.784 | $27.32 | 26d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | 26d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.760 | $40 | 26d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | sell | 118.73 | $0.991 | $117.63 | 26d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | 27d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 30.45 | $0.760 | $23.14 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 18.15 | $0.459 | $8.34 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 19.89 | $0.552 | $10.98 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 18.99 | $0.560 | $10.63 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 17.49 | $0.560 | $9.79 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.561 | $2.81 | Aug 4, 2026 |