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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 11.51 | $0.652 | $9.61 | +$2.11 |
 Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.490 | $1.5 | 10h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 21.69 |
| $0.290 |
| $6.51 |
| +$0.21 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3.88 | +$0.88 |
 Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.120 | $3.69 | +$2.19 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3.28 | $0.992 | $3.25 | -$0 |
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3.08 | $0.974 | $3.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 3.08 | $0.975 | $2.97 | -$0.03 |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 4.26 | $0.705 | $2.68 | -$0.32 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | No | 3.92 | $0.765 | $2.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 2.38 | $0.630 | $2.1 | +$0.6 |
| Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 1.74 | $0.860 | $1.61 | +$0.11 |
 Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 1.88 | $0.800 | $1.61 | +$0.11 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1.66 | $0.903 | $1.59 | +$0.09 |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 1.85 | $0.810 | $1.56 | +$0.06 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.57 | $0.954 | $1.55 | +$0.05 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 1.81 | $0.827 | $1.55 | +$0.05 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2.46 | $0.610 | $1.54 | +$0.04 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 7.14 | $0.210 | $1.54 | +$0.04 |
 Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.53 | +$0.03 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.52 | +$0.02 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 1.92 | $0.780 | $1.51 | +$0.01 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | No | 1.54 | $0.974 | $1.5 | +$0 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 1.81 | $0.830 | $1.28 | -$0.22 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 1.81 | $0.830 | $1.27 | -$0.23 |
| Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 3.06 | $0.490 | $0.7 | -$0.8 |
| buy |
| 1.81 |
| $0.830 |
| $1.5 |
| 10h ago |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.830 | $1.5 | 10h ago |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.780 | $1.5 | 10h ago |
 Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.110 | $0.01 | 10h ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.65 | $0.620 | $2.26 | 10h ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.610 | $1.5 | 10h ago |
| Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.800 | $1.5 | 10h ago |
| Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.860 | $1.5 | 10h ago |
| Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.120 | $1.5 | 10h ago |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.810 | $1.5 | 10h ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.210 | $1.5 | 10h ago |
| Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.990 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.974 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.992 | $3.25 | 1d ago |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.996 | $21.64 | 1d ago |
| Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.960 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.66 | $0.410 | $1.5 | 6d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.420 | $2.8 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.903 | $1.5 | 6d ago |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.720 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 2.83 | $0.520 | $1.47 | 7d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.83 | $0.530 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 2.54 | $0.510 | $1.3 | 7d ago |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.690 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.320 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Yes | sell | 4.58 | $0.700 | $3.21 | 7d ago |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.992 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.991 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Israel Election: Zehut & RZP Run on Same List?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.970 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.300 | $0.3 | 9d ago |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.660 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.650 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.993 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.560 | $2.23 | 9d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.560 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 6.86 | $0.994 | $6.82 | 9d ago |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.770 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.996 | $4.25 | 9d ago |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.974 | $1.5 | 10d ago |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.975 | $1.5 | 10d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.928 | $1.5 | 11d ago |