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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 180 | $0.950 | $170.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 35 | $0.840 | $29.4 | 20h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.834 |
| $83.15 |
| -$0.25 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 80 | $0.930 | $74 | -$0.4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 79.3 | $0.618 | $51.94 | +$2.96 |
 Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 48 | $0.979 | $47.57 | +$0.58 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.940 | $46.75 | -$0.25 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 55 | $0.847 | $45.93 | -$0.67 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50 | $0.791 | $40.58 | +$1.03 |
 US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? | No | 40 | $0.840 | $37 | +$3.4 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 70 | $0.670 | $36.05 | -$10.85 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.973 | $29.51 | +$0.32 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 52.3 | $0.378 | $20.66 | +$0.89 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.983 | $19.65 | -$0.01 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.966 | $19.33 | +$0.01 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.800 | $17.1 | +$1.1 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 15.91 | $0.890 | $14.88 | +$0.72 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 138.15 | $0.100 | $14.51 | +$0.69 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 29.8 | $0.520 | $14.16 | -$1.34 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $14.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026? | No | 50 | $0.670 | $13.75 | -$19.75 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 11 | $0.730 | $8.14 | +$0.11 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 26.6 | $0.286 | $5.72 | -$1.89 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 41.28 | $0.100 | $3.51 | -$0.62 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 68.12 | $0.058 | $2.42 | -$1.53 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 37.5 | $0.070 | $2.25 | -$0.38 |
| buy |
| 140 |
| $0.950 |
| $133 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.979 | $17.62 | 1d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.983 | $19.66 | 1d ago |
| Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.979 | $29.37 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.966 | $19.32 | 1d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.950 | $38 | 1d ago |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.171 | $11.97 | 1d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 48.12 | $0.370 | $17.8 | 1d ago |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.300 | $22.5 | 1d ago |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 88.69 | $0.490 | $43.46 | 1d ago |
 Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 279.21 | $0.001 | $0.28 | 1d ago |
 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 729.68 | $0.001 | $0.73 | 1d ago |
 Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 558.42 | $0.002 | $1.12 | 1d ago |
 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 106.4 | $0.004 | $0.43 | 1d ago |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 490.49 | $0.005 | $2.45 | 1d ago |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 267.45 | $0.005 | $1.34 | 1d ago |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 429.15 | $0.006 | $2.57 | 1d ago |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 199.44 | $0.015 | $2.99 | 1d ago |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 519 | $0.056 | $29.06 | 1d ago |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 350.35 | $0.026 | $9.11 | 1d ago |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 17.48 | $0.024 | $0.42 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.730 | $3.66 | 1d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.930 | $74.4 | 6d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | 6d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 397.47 | $0.180 | $71.54 | 6d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.670 | $46.9 | 6d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 7d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.150 | $9 | 7d ago |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | sell | 67.41 | $0.380 | $25.62 | 7d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.834 | $83.4 | 8d ago |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | 8d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | 8d ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.91 | $0.890 | $14.16 | 8d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 50 | $0.791 | $39.55 | 13d ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 215.28 | $0.143 | $30.79 | 13d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.973 | $29.19 | 13d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 148.59 | $0.090 | $13.37 | 13d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.027 | $28.6 | 13d ago |
 Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 13d ago |
| Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 13d ago |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.053 | $10.6 | 13d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 284.67 | $0.170 | $48.39 | 14d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 562.7 | $0.062 | $34.76 | 14d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 38.5 | $0.077 | $2.96 | 14d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.290 | $1.49 | 15d ago |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.004 | $0.05 | 15d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.100 | $1.03 | 15d ago |