Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.31 | $0.801 | $8.45 | +$0.2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 28.3 |
| $0.530 |
| $1.84 |
| -$13.16 |
| buy |
| 128.63 |
| $0.008 |
| $1 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.780 | $2.68 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.810 | $6 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Another Canada election called by June 30?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?Yes | sell | 226.45 | $0.137 | $31.12 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 12.64 | $0.629 | $7.95 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 407.43 | $0.029 | $12 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.350 | $8.75 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel in May?Yes | buy | 43.95 | $0.046 | $2 | May 16, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85 and 89?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.005 | $0.05 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?Yes | sell | 13.69 | $0.435 | $5.96 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.311 | $5.36 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85 and 89?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.108 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
 Jets vs. StarsJets | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | May 11, 2025 |
| Stars vs. JetsJets | sell | 56.89 | $0.999 | $56.83 | May 10, 2025 |
| Stars vs. JetsJets | buy | 56.89 | $0.822 | $46.74 | May 10, 2025 |
| Stars vs. JetsJets | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?Yes | sell | 36.38 | $0.975 | $35.46 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | May 5, 2025 |
| Jets vs. BluesJets | sell | 37.73 | $0.004 | $0.16 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?Yes | buy | 15.73 | $0.370 | $5.82 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | May 2, 2025 |
| Jets vs. BluesJets | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 244.04 | $0.001 | $0.24 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Blues vs. JetsJets | buy | 37.57 | $0.610 | $22.92 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?Yes | sell | 23.26 | $0.986 | $22.93 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 29.47 | $0.228 | $6.72 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 35.87 | $0.223 | $8 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will NDP win between 16 and 20 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.025 | $0.79 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 12.15 | $0.186 | $2.26 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?Yes | sell | 73.1 | $0.031 | $2.27 | Apr 25, 2025 |