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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 36.79 | $0.750 | $33.66 | +$6.07 |
 US recession by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | 6d ago |
 |
| No |
| 31.91 |
| $0.695 |
| $29.52 |
| +$7.33 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 126.6 | $0.158 | $12.41 | -$7.59 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10.8 | +$0.8 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.560 | $4.87 | -$0.13 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 34.41 | $0.058 | $2.74 | +$0.74 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.023 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 84.2 | $0.031 | $0.04 | -$2.57 |
| buy |
| 34.41 |
| $0.058 |
| $2 |
| 6d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 20.81 | $0.994 | $20.69 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 20.82 | $0.720 | $14.99 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 53.39 | $0.280 | $14.95 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 53.39 | $0.510 | $27.23 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 31.66 | $0.860 | $27.23 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 84.19 | $0.031 | $2.61 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 76.08 | $0.012 | $0.91 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 336.96 | $0.005 | $1.68 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 36.79 | $0.750 | $27.59 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.550 | $25 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.59 | $0.900 | $47.33 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 56.34 | $0.840 | $47.33 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 31.67 | $0.720 | $22.8 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 22.79 | $0.946 | $21.56 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 126.6 | $0.158 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 51.94 | $0.800 | $41.55 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 31.91 | $0.695 | $22.19 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 34.15 | $0.649 | $22.17 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 51.94 | $0.900 | $46.75 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | sell | 47.91 | $0.975 | $46.72 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 56.35 | $0.840 | $47.33 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 34.15 | $0.732 | $25 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 75.24 | $0.950 | $71.48 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 24.09 | $0.033 | $0.79 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | buy | 47.91 | $0.915 | $43.84 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 42.67 | $0.997 | $42.54 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 24.91 | $0.926 | $23.06 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 382.16 | $0.036 | $13.64 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 15.59 | $0.930 | $14.5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.92 | $0.972 | $14.5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.9 | $0.210 | $1.66 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 63.82 | $0.026 | $1.66 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 24.91 | $0.906 | $22.56 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Clippers vs. TimberwolvesClippers | sell | 37.6 | $0.600 | $22.56 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Clippers vs. TimberwolvesClippers | buy | 37.61 | $0.510 | $19.18 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 24.53 | $0.986 | $24.18 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 75.24 | $0.830 | $62.45 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 29.67 | $0.690 | $20.47 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.880 | $20.46 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.480 | $5.76 | Nov 22, 2025 |