Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.33 | $0.860 | $1.92 | -$0.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Susie Wiles" during the State of the Union address?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.15 |
| $0.870 |
| $1.13 |
| +$0.13 |
 Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.05 | $0.948 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.946 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| buy |
| 1.09 |
| $0.920 |
| $1 |
| Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will the People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Microcosm" in February?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Skedaddle" in February?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.967 | $3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.863 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.867 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Bill Ackman say "Communist" or "Communism" during the X Space event on November 18?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Bill Ackman say "50 Year Mortgage" during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Bill Ackman say "House" or "Housing" during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Bill Ackman say "Shareholder" 3+ times during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Bill Ackman say "Affordable" during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Bill Ackman say "Trump" 4+ times during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will a transgender women athlete compete at the 2026 Winter Games?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 17.92 | $0.950 | $17.02 | Oct 29, 2025 |