Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 176.47 | $0.170 | $5.91 | -$24.09 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.008 | $3 | May 16, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 51.94 |
| $0.096 |
| $5 |
| May 16, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 209.2 | $0.040 | $8.37 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 20.27 | $0.444 | $9 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 437.58 | $0.080 | $35 | May 16, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 99.89 | $0.050 | $4.99 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.040 | $15 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?Yes | buy | 258.13 | $0.039 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.050 | $45 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.390 | $351 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | buy | 15.21 | $0.640 | $9.73 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown | buy | 26.32 | $0.370 | $9.73 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 209.2 | $0.239 | $50 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp | buy | 15.93 | $0.610 | $9.72 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | buy | 15.3 | $0.319 | $4.88 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown | sell | 39.68 | $0.151 | $5.97 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 39.34 | $0.250 | $9.82 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | buy | 79.54 | $0.247 | $19.65 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 63.07 | $0.310 | $19.54 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.551 | $8.47 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown | buy | 3.62K | $0.003 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown | buy | 333.19 | $0.030 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown | buy | 157.84 | $0.063 | $9.98 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 45.89 | $0.074 | $3.41 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 142.55 | $0.070 | $9.98 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp | buy | 333.19 | $0.030 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 211.12 | $0.213 | $45 | Mar 5, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.010 | $1.33 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.290 | $3.72 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes | sell | 33.87 | $0.077 | $2.61 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 65.51 | $0.500 | $32.76 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 155.41 | $0.740 | $115 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?No | buy | 1.97K | $0.005 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Bill Clinton say "White House" during his Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.062 | $80 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 400.9 | $0.050 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 764.85 | $0.065 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 87.61 | $0.114 | $9.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETDown | buy | 11.71 | $0.900 | $10.54 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETDown | buy | 26.22 | $0.790 | $20.71 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETDown | buy | 12.63 | $0.780 | $9.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown | buy | 110.74 | $0.090 | $9.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 13.26 | $0.740 | $9.81 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown | buy | 2.22K | $0.009 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown | buy | 163.89 | $0.240 | $39.33 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |