Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.530 | $41.5 | +$15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 2?Down | buy | 3 | $0.870 | $2.61 | 10d ago |
|
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.660 |
| $38.75 |
| +$5.75 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | No | 38.7 | $0.790 | $26.9 | -$3.68 |
 Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election? | No | 80 | $0.380 | $25.6 | -$4.8 |
 Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 29.8 | $0.640 | $21.01 | +$1.94 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | No | 20 | $0.770 | $19.82 | +$4.42 |
 Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.620 | $13.6 | +$1.2 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.620 | $13.25 | -$17.75 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.640 | $12.75 | -$19.25 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? | No | 20 | $0.700 | $12.7 | -$1.3 |
 Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | No | 20 | $0.680 | $11.8 | -$1.8 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | No | 50 | $0.350 | $8.5 | -$9 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 40 | $0.300 | $8.2 | -$3.8 |
 Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | No | 30 | $0.310 | $6.6 | -$2.7 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8.17 | $0.480 | $5.84 | +$1.92 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | No | 20 | $0.480 | $5.5 | -$4.1 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 20 | $0.600 | $5.2 | -$6.8 |
 Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | No | 4.63 | $0.632 | $3.32 | +$0.4 |
 Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? | Yes | 27.45 | $0.260 | $3.02 | -$4.12 |
 Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | Yes | 3.53 | $0.590 | $2.88 | +$0.79 |
 Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 20 | $0.230 | $2.42 | -$2.18 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | No | 2.85 | $0.660 | $2.37 | +$0.48 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.216 | $1.8 | -$9 |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | No | 1.87 | $0.760 | $1.69 | +$0.27 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 20 | $0.180 | $1.46 | -$2.14 |
| buy |
| 9.99 |
| $0.988 |
| $9.87 |
| 15d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 26?Down | buy | 50 | $0.985 | $49.25 | 17d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 26?Down | buy | 105 | $0.630 | $66.15 | 17d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 26?Down | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 17d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 21?Up | buy | 217.55 | $0.900 | $195.8 | 22d ago |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?No | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?Yes | sell | 9.32 | $0.390 | $3.63 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.771 | $38.55 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?Yes | sell | 33.64 | $0.706 | $23.75 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 35.94 | $0.660 | $23.72 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.710 | $9.94 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?No | sell | 50 | $0.754 | $37.7 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?Up | buy | 8.25 | $0.450 | $3.71 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?No | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?No | sell | 18.89 | $0.390 | $7.37 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | sell | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?No | sell | 50 | $0.105 | $5.25 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Yes | sell | 5.8 | $0.480 | $2.78 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Ottawa Redblacks vs. Montreal Alouettes: O/U 55.5Under | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | sell | 40 | $0.121 | $4.84 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.02 | $0.090 | $0.54 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.40T and $1.50T on June 30?Yes | sell | 6.6 | $0.070 | $0.46 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.350 | $4.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout StageNo | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Bilibili Gaming Golden Road in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.110 | $4.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No | sell | 9.38 | $0.820 | $7.69 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Faker Win an International Title in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.045 | $1.37 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 340 | $0.820 | $278.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.163 | $15.45 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027?No | sell | 60 | $0.504 | $30.25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 310 | $0.429 | $133.13 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.450 | $18 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027?No | sell | 80 | $0.460 | $36.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |