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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.280 | $3.11 | +$1.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 12h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.72 |
| $0.740 |
| $2.63 |
| +$0.62 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.06 | $0.500 | $2.62 | +$1.09 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August? | Yes | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.540 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | No | 2.78 | $0.720 | $1.96 | -$0.04 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.520 | $1.71 | -$0.29 |
| buy |
| 2.56 |
| $0.780 |
| $2 |
| 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.654 | $2 | 16d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.799 | $2 | 17d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 18d ago |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 18d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 19d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 27d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 28d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.326 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.580 | $1.77 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.411 | $1.26 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |