Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 18 | $0.902 | $16.24 | Jun 8, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 22 |
| $0.889 |
| $19.56 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | sell | 21 | $0.940 | $19.74 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.910 | $12.74 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.944 | $14.16 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.940 | $20.68 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.988 | $11.86 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.885 | $1.42 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 18 | $0.999 | $17.98 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.999 | $15.98 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 6?No | sell | 5.3 | $0.999 | $5.29 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.39 | $0.945 | $2.26 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2.07 | $0.938 | $1.94 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?No | sell | 12 | $0.998 | $11.98 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?No | sell | 1.68 | $0.940 | $1.58 | Jan 29, 2026 |
US civil war before 2027?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.887 | $1.74 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 4.01 | $0.939 | $3.77 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.790 | $14.22 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4?Up | buy | 19 | $0.990 | $18.81 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 19 | $0.999 | $18.98 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.999 | $15.98 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Epstein client list released in 2025?No | sell | 2.65 | $0.976 | $2.59 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.995 | $1.18 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.897 | $17.04 | Dec 29, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 18 | $0.993 | $17.87 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 15 | $0.967 | $14.5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 17 | $0.994 | $16.9 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 16 | $0.955 | $15.27 | Dec 29, 2025 |
No airdrop in 2025?No | sell | 4.64 | $0.863 | $4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 17 | $0.984 | $16.73 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 21 | $0.964 | $20.24 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.993 | $18.87 | Dec 27, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 17 | $0.981 | $16.68 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.999 | $15.98 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 3.61 | $0.959 | $3.46 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.958 | $14.37 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.953 | $19.07 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 18 | $0.977 | $17.59 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 4.74 | $0.992 | $4.7 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 16?No | sell | 19 | $0.999 | $18.98 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 17 | $0.945 | $16.06 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.979 | $1.35 | Dec 14, 2025 |