Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.270 | $1.08 | -$7.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
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Cheap-Toque is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,589,075 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$97.84 observed lifetime PnL, 58 distinct markets, 20 resolved positions, a 75.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x3a4a619b7aa8517ec5a131aa80ad9641e413b12d
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.270 |
| $8.1 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes | sell | 99.98 | $0.391 | $39.09 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes | sell | 100.88 | $0.252 | $25.41 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes | buy | 100.88 | $0.169 | $17 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.009 | $0.37 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 19?No | buy | 90 | $0.050 | $4.5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.160 | $11.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 19?Yes | sell | 22.12 | $0.630 | $13.94 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 December 15-21?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.117 | $2.34 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 18?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.110 | $9.68 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 17?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.057 | $5.68 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 17?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 16?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 16?No | buy | 10 | $0.081 | $0.81 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 16?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.090 | $8.1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 15-21?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $455 before 2026??Yes | sell | 65 | $0.230 | $14.95 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 14?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.023 | $2.07 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.223 | $15.61 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.002 | $2.02 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 12?No | sell | 50 | $0.952 | $47.62 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 11?No | sell | 90 | $0.400 | $36 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 December 8-14?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.313 | $18.79 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 December 8-14?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.180 | $10.8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 11?No | sell | 69.91 | $0.320 | $22.37 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10?No | sell | 141.62 | $0.290 | $41.07 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10?No | buy | 141.63 | $0.350 | $49.56 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 125.05 | $0.007 | $0.87 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?Yes | sell | 287.5 | $0.079 | $22.71 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 231.95 | $0.022 | $5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Yes | sell | 194.54 | $0.086 | $16.73 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 1-7?Yes | sell | 51.28 | $0.051 | $2.6 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.130 | $14.44 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125.06 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?No | buy | 71.29 | $0.014 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 3?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $455 before 2026??Yes | buy | 45 | $0.239 | $10.75 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.