Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon say "Trump" 10+ times during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 63.16 | $0.019 | $1.2 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 74.07 |
| $0.016 |
| $1.19 |
| Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win less than 26% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 84.16 | $0.014 | $1.18 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the Left be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 91.36 | $0.022 | $2 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win less than 26% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 84.17 | $0.036 | $3 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.036 | $10.84 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 102.31 | $0.039 | $3.99 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will another party win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.002 | $2 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 689.92 | $0.007 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 224.71 | $0.045 | $10 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.002 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.036 | $10 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 278 | $0.090 | $25.02 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?Yes | sell | 22.37 | $0.993 | $22.21 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?Yes | buy | 22.38 | $0.290 | $6.49 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?50k | sell | 22.72 | $0.140 | $3.18 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 662.58 | $0.005 | $3.31 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 248.3 | $0.047 | $11.67 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.770 | $11.67 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 16, 2024 |
| Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?50k | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jul 16, 2024 |
 Will Spain win in 90 min?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jul 13, 2024 |
| Will Spain win in extra time?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jul 13, 2024 |
 Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jul 13, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 13, 2024 |
 Will Netherlands win?Yes | buy | 26.06 | $0.310 | $8.08 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Trump and Biden both lose nomination?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jul 8, 2024 |
 Netherlands vs. Turkey - Who will advance?Turkey | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 6, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.004 | $3.33 | Jul 6, 2024 |
| Netherlands vs. Turkey - Who will advance?Turkey | buy | 29.17 | $0.240 | $7 | Jul 6, 2024 |
| England vs. Switzerland - Who will advance?Switzerland | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Jul 5, 2024 |
 Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?Spain | sell | 32.07 | $0.990 | $31.75 | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?Spain | buy | 32.07 | $0.540 | $17.32 | Jul 4, 2024 |
| [Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 4, 2024 |
| Portugal vs. France - Who will advance?Portugal | sell | 23.8 | $0.380 | $9.04 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Portugal win?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 4, 2024 |
| Portugal vs. France - Who will advance?Portugal | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Turkey win?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 France vs. Belgium - Who will advance?Belgium | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jul 1, 2024 |
 Biden stumbles by Friday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.055 | $5.5 | Jun 30, 2024 |
 Biden senile during the debate?Yes | sell | 19.42 | $0.430 | $8.35 | Jun 30, 2024 |
 England vs. Slovakia - who will advance?Slovakia | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | Jun 30, 2024 |
| England vs. Slovakia - who will advance?Slovakia | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jun 30, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 96.98 | $0.075 | $7.27 | Jun 29, 2024 |