Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6.15 | $0.650 | $2.86 | -$1.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.963 | $2.44 | 24d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.45 |
| $0.310 |
| $1.26 |
| -$0.74 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.17 | $0.630 | $0.65 | -$1.35 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 16.25 | $0.246 | $0.28 | -$3.72 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
| sell |
| 4.16 |
| $0.999 |
| $4.16 |
| 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.840 | $1.29 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 4.1 | $0.820 | $3.36 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.480 | $5.71 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 8.77 | $0.670 | $5.88 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.800 | $2.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.650 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.419 | $4.66 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 1.98 | $0.505 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.211 | $1.32 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.564 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 30.7 | $0.974 | $29.9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 8.84 | $0.060 | $0.53 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETDown | buy | 29.41 | $0.850 | $25 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETDown | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETUp | sell | 12.83 | $0.980 | $12.57 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.055 | $0.66 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 26.04 | $0.960 | $25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 28.74 | $0.870 | $25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 26.6 | $0.940 | $25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp | buy | 26.32 | $0.950 | $25 | Jun 25, 2026 |