Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.870 | $192.3 | +$18.3 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | buy | 74 | $0.850 | $62.9 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 99.99 |
| $0.880 |
| $97.54 |
| +$9.55 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.880 | $96.15 | +$8.15 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.890 | $96.05 | +$7.05 |
 Vanta IPO before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.695 | $94.5 | +$25 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.790 | $92.85 | +$13.85 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.840 | $92.5 | +$8.5 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.750 | $86.5 | +$11.5 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.850 | $49.48 | +$6.98 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.700 | $47 | +$12 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.790 | $46.25 | +$6.75 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 50 | $0.600 | $45.75 | +$15.75 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.730 | $12.7 | -$1.9 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.145 | $11.55 | -$2.95 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | No | 10 | $0.430 | $9.3 | +$5 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.300 | $0.98 | -$5.02 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.980 |
| $4.9 |
| Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.500 | $0.5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.690 | $82.8 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.6 | $0.090 | $3.73 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?No | buy | 8 | $0.760 | $6.08 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 29?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.990 | $29.7 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 2025 September third hottest on record?Yes | buy | 342 | $0.292 | $100 | Nov 9, 2025 |