Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 35.14 | $0.370 | $2.64 | -$10.36 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.002 | $2.09 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 33.15 |
| $0.063 |
| $2.09 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | buy | 131.25 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 55.5 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.28 | $0.312 | $5.08 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.028 | $14 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | sell | 5.85 | $0.020 | $0.12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 3.1 | $0.290 | $0.9 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 2.46 | $0.370 | $0.91 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 6.21 | $0.780 | $4.84 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6700–6800 on April 8?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.984 | $1.97 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | buy | 53.44 | $0.131 | $7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown | sell | 3.78 | $0.460 | $1.74 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 3.57 | $0.250 | $0.89 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6700–6800 on April 8?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 52.45 | $0.996 | $52.24 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.939 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 50.32 | $0.031 | $1.56 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 2.35 | $0.410 | $0.97 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.69 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | sell | 1.88 | $0.690 | $1.3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.85 | $0.520 | $0.96 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp | sell | 3.08 | $0.780 | $2.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp | buy | 3.03 | $0.500 | $1.51 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.88 | $0.200 | $0.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 138.42 | $0.010 | $1.38 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.14 | $0.370 | $13 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | sell | 10.85 | $0.290 | $3.15 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | buy | 7.64 | $0.130 | $0.99 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | buy | 3.15 | $0.310 | $0.98 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.33 | $0.740 | $0.98 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 19.14 | $0.052 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | sell | 2.9 | $0.450 | $1.31 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.87 | $0.340 | $0.97 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | sell | 3.41 | $0.660 | $2.25 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 3.38 | $0.290 | $0.98 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 11.19 | $0.140 | $1.57 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Yes | buy | 19.42 | $0.103 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?Yes | buy | 64.56 | $0.046 | $3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 358.04 | $0.013 | $4.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |