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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.530 | $95 | -$11 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | 9d ago |
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| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.660 |
| $89 |
| -$43 |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.460 | $51 | -$41 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.140 | $26.5 | -$1.5 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.195 | $11.3 | -$27.7 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.200 | $7.5 | -$12.5 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.197 | $7.15 | -$12.58 |
Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO? | Yes | 21.3 | $0.030 | $5.08 | +$4.44 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.101 | $3.35 | -$6.75 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.077 | $2.5 | -$13 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.101 | $1.83 | -$3.23 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $0.45 | -$5.55 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.135 | $0.23 | -$6.53 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.080 | $0.23 | -$3.78 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 12.59 | $0.164 | $0.1 | -$1.96 |
| sell |
| 400 |
| $0.010 |
| $3.9 |
| 12d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | 12d ago |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.620 | $61.99 | 15d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.448 | $44.8 | 16d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Yes | sell | 205.77 | $0.110 | $22.63 | 27d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Yes | sell | 91.91 | $0.161 | $14.83 | 27d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.344 | $51.67 | 27d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.380 | $19 | 27d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Yes | sell | 99.23 | $0.169 | $16.77 | 27d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.117 | $61.49 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Yes | buy | 335 | $0.030 | $10.05 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.076 | $7.6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?Yes | buy | 469.99 | $0.078 | $36.66 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?Yes | buy | 606.06 | $0.052 | $31.52 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.61 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.450 | $11.25 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.411 | $45.21 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 499.97 | $0.430 | $214.99 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | sell | 150 | $0.780 | $117 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.005 | $0.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.189 | $60.47 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes | buy | 265 | $0.190 | $50.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.196 | $28.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.560 | $67.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.460 | $13.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 729.98 | $0.640 | $467.19 | Jun 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.570 | $56.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Yes | sell | 13.18 | $0.103 | $1.36 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.058 | $3.79 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.237 | $11.85 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?Yes | sell | 32.49 | $0.141 | $4.58 | May 28, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?Yes | sell | 7.51 | $0.142 | $1.07 | May 28, 2026 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.085 | $2.55 | May 28, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.073 | $3.65 | May 28, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.027 | $2.7 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | May 24, 2026 |