Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.002 |
| $2 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 167.47 | $0.019 | $3.18 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 517 | $0.002 | $1.03 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.006 | $0.18 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.010 | $0.85 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 610 | $0.002 | $1.22 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 55.82 | $0.022 | $1.23 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.94K | $0.002 | $3.88 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.038 | $2.85 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 165 | $0.034 | $5.61 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.034 | $3.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.035 | $7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.034 | $6.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.034 | $6.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 300 | $0.034 | $10.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.035 | $7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.033 | $6.6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 300 | $0.033 | $9.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.027 | $2.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.027 | $2.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.027 | $5.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.027 | $2.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.027 | $2.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 200 | $0.028 | $5.6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.003 | $9 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 767.24 | $0.005 | $3.84 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.031 | $6.2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.017 | $2.38 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 636.39 | $0.008 | $5.09 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 123.29 | $0.029 | $3.58 | Feb 9, 2026 |