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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 41.24 | $0.970 | $40.58 | +$0.58 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 41.24 | $0.970 | $40 | May 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 22.35 |
| $0.850 |
| $20.67 |
| +$1.67 |
| buy |
| 200.6 |
| $0.997 |
| $200 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 273.57 | $0.998 | $273.02 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 USDT depeg in 2025?No | buy | 14.06 | $0.996 | $14 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?Yes | buy | 14.54 | $0.997 | $14.5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Dogecoin all time high before 2026?No | buy | 13.08 | $0.994 | $13 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Aster all time high by December 31?No | buy | 21.13 | $0.994 | $21 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?No | buy | 20.44 | $0.993 | $20.3 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 21.17 | $0.992 | $21 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Solana all time high before 2026?No | buy | 22.09 | $0.996 | $22 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 18.33 | $0.982 | $18 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 19.19 | $0.990 | $19 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 24.17 | $0.993 | $24 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 15?No | buy | 22.02 | $0.999 | $22 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 18.09 | $0.995 | $18 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?Yes | buy | 40.01 | $0.720 | $28.81 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?No | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?No | buy | 24.49 | $0.980 | $24 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Up Only podcast released by November 30?No | buy | 19.51 | $0.820 | $16 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 22.35 | $0.850 | $19 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 14.55 | $0.962 | $14 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.950 | $15 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 17.71 | $0.960 | $17 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 18.11 | $0.994 | $18 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 27.38 | $0.840 | $23 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 18.24 | $0.987 | $18 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 39.84 | $0.251 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 33.71 | $0.940 | $31.69 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | sell | 34.4 | $0.986 | $33.92 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?Yes | sell | 35.48 | $0.954 | $33.85 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?No | buy | 42.28 | $0.149 | $6.3 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 HasanAbi arrested by October 31?No | buy | 44.11 | $0.977 | $43.1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 James Comey arrested by October 31?No | buy | 37.55 | $0.972 | $36.5 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?Yes | buy | 35.48 | $0.930 | $33 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?Yes | buy | 30.21 | $0.993 | $30 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 33.72 | $0.890 | $30 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 52.15 | $0.978 | $51 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 34.41 | $0.988 | $34 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 17.14 | $0.580 | $9.94 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | sell | 71.11 | $0.972 | $69.12 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.974 | $3.43 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | buy | 48.54 | $0.958 | $46.5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 73.96 | $0.960 | $71 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | buy | 71.11 | $0.900 | $64 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | buy | 58.95 | $0.950 | $56 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 240 | $0.520 | $124.8 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by August 31?No | buy | 97.98 | $0.990 | $97 | Aug 4, 2025 |