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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 270.27 | $0.370 | $77.03 | -$22.97 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 76.19 | $0.210 | $16 | Jul 15, 2026 |
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| No |
| 56.82 |
| $0.880 |
| $54.55 |
| +$4.55 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 97.48 | $0.308 | $33.58 | +$3.58 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 101.96 | $0.301 | $16.82 | -$13.87 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10.19 | +$0.19 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 355.93 | $0.028 | $8.72 | -$1.28 |
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10.2 | $0.490 | $4.85 | -$0.15 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $4.79 | -$0.21 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 105.05 | $0.256 | $4.73 | -$22.16 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 177.47 | $0.113 | $3.99 | -$16.01 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 105.26 | $0.190 | $3.84 | -$16.16 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 50.85 | $0.590 | $3.81 | -$26.19 |
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.280 | $3.75 | -$6.25 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 171.24 | $0.058 | $3.17 | -$6.83 |
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Yes | 24.99 | $0.400 | $2.62 | -$7.38 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $1.72 | -$8.28 |
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | 87.3 | $0.115 | $1.57 | -$8.43 |
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
| buy |
| 97.48 |
| $0.308 |
| $30 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 531.91 | $0.188 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 61.57 | $0.274 | $16.89 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 25.77 | $0.570 | $14.69 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Yes | buy | 94.55 | $0.106 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.78 | $0.600 | $10.07 | Mar 28, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 171.24 | $0.058 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.99 | $0.400 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 87.3 | $0.115 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 35.05 | $0.285 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?No | buy | 10.93 | $0.915 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes | buy | 58.98 | $0.170 | $10.05 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.35 | $0.600 | $5.01 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 59.18 | $0.499 | $29.53 | Mar 1, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 48.54 | $0.206 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 177.47 | $0.113 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 128.41 | $0.389 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 10.8 | $0.926 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 355.93 | $0.028 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.008 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the US strike Mexico next?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.005 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |