Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | No | 20 | $0.891 | $16.44 | -$1.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.640 | $0.02 | 18d ago |
|
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.957 |
| $9.84 |
| +$0.27 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.982 | $4.97 | +$0.06 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 5 | $0.960 | $4.94 | +$0.14 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 5 | $0.920 | $4.83 | +$0.23 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6 | $0.870 | $4.71 | -$0.51 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.170 | $4.65 | -$0.45 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 5 | $0.880 | $4.6 | +$0.2 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | 20.24 | $0.240 | $1.32 | -$3.54 |
| buy |
| 4K |
| $0.652 |
| $2.61K |
| 19d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.957 | $9.57 | 20d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.977 | $97.7 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.24K | $0.930 | $3.01K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.998 | $3K | May 23, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | May 2, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.96K | $0.997 | $2.95K | May 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.96K | $0.996 | $2.95K | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 2.98K | $0.997 | $2.97K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.97K | $0.992 | $2.95K | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 2.92K | $0.998 | $2.91K | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.86K | $0.998 | $2.85K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.86K | $0.995 | $2.84K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.85K | $0.998 | $2.84K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.85K | $0.996 | $2.84K | Jan 27, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.994 | $2.49K | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 2.81K | $0.996 | $2.8K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 2.81K | $0.998 | $2.8K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.81K | $0.996 | $2.79K | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.79K | $0.978 | $2.73K | Dec 24, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.74K | $0.999 | $2.73K | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.65K | $0.997 | $2.65K | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 13.65 | $0.997 | $13.61 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.910 | $10.01 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 2.58K | $0.993 | $2.56K | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | sell | 2.57K | $0.995 | $2.55K | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 482 | $0.860 | $414.52 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.830 | $332 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.820 | $246 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | sell | 600 | $0.849 | $509.23 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.906 | $203.85 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 419.99 | $0.958 | $402.17 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.816 | $489.59 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.998 | $1.97K | Jul 19, 2025 |
 U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?No | sell | 159.64 | $0.935 | $149.26 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 956 | $0.993 | $949.31 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.997 | $149.55 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 203 | $0.978 | $198.53 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.997 | $199.4 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.991 | $1.01K | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?No | buy | 307.79 | $0.975 | $300 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?No | sell | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?Yes | buy | 1.68K | $0.996 | $1.68K | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 14?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.978 | $1.6K | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?No | buy | 202.02 | $0.990 | $200 | Jun 10, 2025 |