Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 90 | $0.023 | $0.45 | -$1.59 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel RinconZsombor Piros | buy | 2.73 | $0.660 | $1.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.99 |
| $0.670 |
| $2 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.540 | $2.69 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 5 | $0.595 | $2.97 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 6.58 | $0.530 | $3.49 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 7.94 | $0.846 | $6.72 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.09 | $0.999 | $7.08 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.012 | $0.24 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.034 | $0.34 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.030 | $0.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.130 | $0.48 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.089 | $0.89 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.590 | $0.83 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.45 | $0.750 | $1.09 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?Yes | sell | 2.9 | $0.039 | $0.11 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.600 | $1.01 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.043 | $0.21 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.947 | $2.56 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.840 | $1.14 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.65 | $0.162 | $1.89 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.988 | $1.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.910 | $1.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.988 | $1.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.217 | $1.09 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.636 | $1.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.830 | $1.11 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.974 | $1.17 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.780 | $1.39 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.105 | $1.78 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 20.28 | $0.100 | $2.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.820 | $2.16 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.88 | $0.850 | $2.45 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.584 | $2.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 21.66 | $0.120 | $2.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.98 | $0.790 | $3.93 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.38 | $0.550 | $4.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.270 | $4.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |