Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xi visit the US before July?No | buy | 40.21 | $0.970 | $39 | May 27, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 27.37 |
| $0.950 |
| $26 |
| May 27, 2025 |
 1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?No | buy | 29.65 | $0.877 | $26 | May 26, 2025 |
 Trump x Xi talk before June?No | buy | 16.05 | $0.810 | $13 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?No | buy | 26.89 | $0.967 | $26 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?No | buy | 27.66 | $0.940 | $26 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.950 | $13 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?No | buy | 15.48 | $0.840 | $13 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?No | buy | 26.8 | $0.970 | $26 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Fed abolished in 2025?No | buy | 13.54 | $0.960 | $13 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.680 | $7 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 China-EU trade deal before June?No | buy | 14.84 | $0.876 | $13 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will anyone be charged with insider trading Trump tariff announcement?No | buy | 67.37 | $0.950 | $64 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July?Yes | sell | 15.29 | $0.131 | $2 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?No | buy | 15.12 | $0.860 | $13 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Istanbul mayor İmamoğlu released from custody before May?No | buy | 13.83 | $0.940 | $13 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 79.01 | $0.810 | $64 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?No | buy | 67.37 | $0.950 | $64 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Mexico counter tariff the U.S. in April?No | buy | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 20.15 | $0.645 | $13 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 14.94 | $0.870 | $13 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Duterte released from custody before June?No | buy | 13.54 | $0.960 | $13 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | buy | 130.74 | $0.979 | $128 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney lose his seat?No | buy | 13.54 | $0.960 | $13 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.830 | $13 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Turkey snap presidential election called before July?No | buy | 69.57 | $0.920 | $64 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Istanbul mayor İmamoğlu released from custody in March?No | buy | 13.32 | $0.976 | $13 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Trump meets with Carney in March?No | buy | 67.31 | $0.951 | $64 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?No | buy | 18.06 | $0.720 | $13 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?No | sell | 13.48 | $0.968 | $13.05 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.910 | $26 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Syria before July?No | buy | 27.66 | $0.940 | $26 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Syria hold national elections before July?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?No | buy | 19.4 | $0.670 | $13 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Friday?No | buy | 13.18 | $0.986 | $13 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Friday?Yes | sell | 120.37 | $0.020 | $2.43 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza before July?No | buy | 13.63 | $0.954 | $13 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?No | buy | 66.39 | $0.964 | $64 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by next Friday?No | buy | 18.06 | $0.720 | $13 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Friday?Yes | buy | 120.37 | $0.108 | $13 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May?No | buy | 13.54 | $0.960 | $13 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Syria hold national elections before July?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy impeached before July?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.950 | $13 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 13.28 | $0.979 | $13 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 U.S. sovereign wealth fund operational in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | sell | 12.73 | $0.400 | $5.09 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump ban federal workers from editing Wikipedia?No | buy | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13 | Feb 28, 2025 |