Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? | No | 20 | $0.550 | $11.05 | +$0.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Team Secret Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six SiegeYes | sell | 20 | $0.103 | $2.06 | Aug 13, 2026 |
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friendlyreward is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #3,110,447 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$5.66K observed lifetime PnL, 5,459 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 10.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x39012016232525192d8a625e229f426e46ae9761
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.480 |
| $5.1 |
| -$4.5 |
 Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | Yes | 12.52 | $0.550 | $3.82 | -$3.07 |
 Will Malin Sjölander be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? | Yes | 2.24 | $0.520 | $0.29 | -$0.88 |
| sell |
| 0.01 |
| $0.350 |
| $0 |
| Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Minnesota have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes | sell | 17.11 | $0.280 | $4.79 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 13?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?No | sell | 6.51 | $0.220 | $1.43 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?No | sell | 6.62 | $0.700 | $4.63 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.510 | $0.04 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 7.63 | $0.480 | $3.66 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?No | sell | 20 | $0.457 | $9.15 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.550 | $0.74 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.190 | $9.49 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.380 | $0.13 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.426 | $8.52 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.380 | $6.13 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.480 | $6.85 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.530 | $5.29 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in New York?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.220 | $0.84 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?No | sell | 11.55 | $0.690 | $7.97 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 8.82 | $0.650 | $5.73 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.607 | $12.14 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 13?Down | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.430 | $0.75 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?No | sell | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?No | sell | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 14?No | sell | 17.3 | $0.480 | $8.3 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?No | sell | 16.13 | $0.380 | $6.13 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on August 13?Down | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 13?No | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 13?Down | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Fresno State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?Yes | sell | 3.38 | $0.520 | $1.76 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?No | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 14?No | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.430 | $0 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?No | sell | 3 | $0.560 | $1.68 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.430 | $1.54 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 2.62 | $0.480 | $1.26 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Aug 13, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.