Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.75K | $0.992 | $8.68K | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 8.78K |
| $0.989 |
| $8.68K |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.74K | $0.992 | $5.69K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 2.79K | $0.991 | $2.76K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.5K | $0.950 | $4.28K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.008 | $1.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.954 | $1.04K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | sell | 2.28K | $0.990 | $2.26K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.74K | $0.975 | $1.7K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.975 | $1.7K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.93 | $0.998 | $6.92 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 901.97 | $0.940 | $847.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.162 | $48.46 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 305.49 | $0.271 | $82.81 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.937 | $1.48K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.196 | $19.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.189 | $1.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 5.76K | $0.994 | $5.73K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 920.33 | $0.902 | $830.14 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.893 | $89.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 334.74 | $0.940 | $314.66 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 6K | $0.994 | $5.96K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.884 | $1.06K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 2.06K | $0.976 | $2.01K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.994 | $1.21K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 436.79 | $0.770 | $336.33 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.990 | $990 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.989 | $2.74K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Yes | buy | 151.4 | $0.989 | $149.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | buy | 14.25 | $0.980 | $13.97 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | buy | 446.67 | $0.980 | $437.74 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | buy | 1K | $0.980 | $980 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | sell | 59.85 | $0.390 | $23.34 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.75 | $0.949 | $95.61 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 149.26 | $0.949 | $141.71 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 81 | $0.020 | $1.62 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 238.71 | $0.970 | $231.55 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 85.67 | $0.012 | $1.06 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 174.78 | $0.950 | $166.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 258.69 | $0.950 | $245.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | sell | 992.2 | $0.880 | $873.14 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 1.24K | $0.150 | $186.24 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 563.75 | $0.310 | $174.96 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 1K | $0.910 | $910 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.420 | $126 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No | sell | 50 | $0.219 | $10.95 | Jun 13, 2026 |