Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | Yes | 40.2 | $0.497 | $9.04 | -$10.96 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 45.21 |
| $0.303 |
| $2.71 |
| -$11.01 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.026 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.449 | $0.85 | -$4.25 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes| sell |
| 26.47 |
| $0.070 |
| $1.85 |
| May 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.278 | $6.95 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | May 11, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.638 | $6.38 | May 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.630 | $15.75 | May 3, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 50.97 | $0.030 | $1.53 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 34.28 | $0.400 | $13.71 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.998 | $24.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.022 | $1.06 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.414 | $8.28 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.06 | $0.550 | $14.33 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.003 | $0.21 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 27.78 | $0.290 | $8.06 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.011 | $3.67 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 20.33 | $0.214 | $4.35 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 12.95 | $0.390 | $5.05 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.051 | $5.09 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Yes | sell | 17.16 | $0.592 | $10.17 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.207 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.31 | $0.155 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.62 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.96 | $0.266 | $3.72 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | sell | 14.21 | $0.350 | $4.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 34.29 | $0.292 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |